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Philosophy, Religion & Society / Re: Trump
« on: April 23, 2025, 07:31:09 AM »
Yes.
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Good! But the only reason you are able to rail against the equation is due to the video; otherwise, you would have never even heard about itHuh? I heard about the equation from the USTR website. I have not seen the video you keep talking about. It kind of sounds like you want me to watch it, though?
It is nice to know you have become so well-versed in economics, market prognostication, and fortune-telling.As you well know, my insight is prophetic. My knowledge has been granted unto me by the Gods, and so it shall be the truth. Moreover, my esteemed colleague Vair Soir (a renowned economist btw) agrees with me.
Pete, the video narrator admits he cannot address the issue of the equation and the entire page being generated by ChatGPT.I didn't watch the video, and I'm not talking about it. I'll take your advice and continue not to watch it.
"TARIFFS BAD!!!", is a bullshit argumentTariffs can be good, or they can be bad. These tariffs, however, will be very bad to your everyday Joe.
Does that mean that you should automatically disregard the results from those who are in that particular peer group and have reproduced the results?Yes. Science zealots are too afraid of accepting that they just don't know something, and that right now they can't know it. Accepting unknowns would be a good first step, and I'm glad you suggested it unprompted.
Over what time period?Probably 100 years or so, but of course it's been a continuous upward trend over the last 20, and particularly accelerated in the last 10. Over the last 5, it's been slower, but steadily trending up. It kind of doesn't matter what time period you pick - it's lookin' pretty good.
Over 20 years? Well sure. 20 years ago this wasn't even a thingIncorrect. You just happened not to be involved.
- or not one that I'd ever heard anything about.Look, I don't mean this to sound too mean, but what you do or don't hear about is not really that significant. If it makes you feel any better, I don't know much about football, and the offside offence is something I can't even make a coherent joke about. If I worked the way you do, I could extrapolate and say that since I know jack about it, football is not "even a thing". But the truth is much simpler - what you and I see is rarely a good litmus test.
I just wondered what recent change prompted this thread.My guess would be TikTok. It's the current mainstay of FE proliferation among younger people, and people are doing great there - probably similar in success to what this place has been 10 years ago.
I have looked for data and struggled to find anything which backs up the "exponential growth" you have talked about.But you don't need to look - I've done the looking for you. I have, time and time again, shown you studies which clearly indicate it. And it's the fact that you've not responded to that at all that makes me thoroughly unwilling to engage with you in any discussion of verifiable facts. You don't respond to verifiable facts. You just repeat your claim.
Is it? If it’s evident then there should be some evidence. Is there?Yeah. It's fairly easy to observe the shift in public conversation around the subject. Shall we fast-forward past the conversation where you proudly declare yourself not to want to look, demand that I look for you, and I refuse and call you lazy?
Oh? Then why did several prominent FE’ers like Jeranism renounce FE after the Final Experiment?Oh no, not Jeran. Whatever will actual FE'ers do now that he's not here to shit everything up?
OK, so you've seen it. Great, so you acknowledge it's there. Why are you still a flat earther then?I have convinced you of my ability to cook. Great, you acknowledge I can cook. Why are you still a round earther then? This is a profound deliberation, worthy of only the most sophisticated RE minds.
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User-Agent: Pete is so Handsome
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I don't know what to tell you.What he's telling you is that you made an error when pasting the image in this post, which resulted in your entire message appearing as a malformed URL. You can see this if you go back and edit your post and preview the BBCode - there's a random [url] tag chilling there for no reason.
The phenonemn happens whether someone uses it as evidence or not.Irrelevant. Please focus on the subject at hand. You can't just move from "they're selectively using this evidence, how intellectually dishonest" to "it doesn't matter if they're using this as evidence". It absolutely does matter, it's the core of your argument. If you lack the intellectual honesty to appreciate that, then I'd suggest caution the next time you make these sort of accusations against people.
Anyone who accepts that the ice caps are melting [...]Epic. And how much sugar am I allowed to put on my porridge, again?
What the Zetetic considers "overwhelming evidence" is pretty selective. My point isn't about what they believe or don't believe, its about consistency, also known as having intellecutal honesty.Ok. Now, read what I said immediately above the part you're responding to.
Part of the overwhelming evidence for global warming is that the gravitational field of the earth shifts as the ice caps are melting.How have you concluded that the author was referring to this phenomenon as their evidence?
Well, no-one. But I accept the claim.That's fair, I suppose. I think this might be a cultural difference between you and me. For me, it's genuinely hard to comprehend that you keep coming here and telling others what they should be interested in, or what they should be doing based on your understanding of their interests. It's so far removed from my cognition that even putting this description together took some effort.
Fair point about Zeteticism, but you must have some strategy for coming to beliefs about stuff you can't directly experience.Sure. I can also cook - I'm far from an expert, but I'm good enough to entertain guests and earn some compliments, maybe even teach some basic knife skills. But I don't post about cooking here, and you don't have an insatiable need to probe my cooking skills.
Mine is to evaluate the evidence. What other option is there?The problem is that "evaluating the evidence" is extremely vague. You're openly dismissive of people who seem to form their opinions based on YouTube videos, for example, but that absolutely falls under "evaluating evidence". To a more cynical eye, your "evaluation of evidence" is just reading unverifiable claims made by people in positions of power and vibe-checking whether you feel like trusting them.
Most FE people seem to just put it all in one big box marked "FAKE" and leave it at that.Right, you really like saying that, but that's just not what's happening. And, tbh, you know that. It's just easier for you to hand-wave things away, because you're lazy.
It’s the intellectual dishonesty that bothers me. The Zeteticism seems to be selective.No fucking shit. I hope you're not claiming to apply the scientific method to every single aspect of your life, at all times, with no exceptions. It would be very funny if you did.
Global warming is a perfect example.Since it's such a good example, could you recall a few of the statements this society made about climate change, and explain why they led you to this conclusion?
OK. I just asked how the bending is accounted for in the experiments.I would expect that it isn't - those are typically the stuff of more classical FE'ers, and you're asking about EA models.
I mean, cards on the table - I'm pretty certain the Bishop Experiment never happened. I don't believe the results he claims are possible on a flat earth let alone a globe.I mean, it's a fairly easy one to do if you live near a body of water. I've had decent success looking at the coast of Normandy from Alderney. Now, it was more like 18.5 kilometres rather than 23 miles, so it's an expected drop of "only" 27 metres - but that's still 27 metres of height that my sight line somehow overtook. For someone who really likes accusing others of being lazy, you're really unwilling to do anything.
I'm not clear why you have an issue with that when you seem content with EAI don't have an issue with refraction as a concept, but that doesn't make your flippant use of it any less an ad-hoc explanation. You take a variable phenomenon, declare without evidence that the variables must have just magically aligned for different conditions every time someone has replicated an experiment, and you consider the matter closed. I'm just not happy with such lazy shallow-mindedness.
It's not a new claim, but it's a new company, a new set of people who have to be "in on it"I'm sure the people at NASA have changed quite significantly over the last few decades, too. I really struggle to see the novelty.
a new opportunity to inspect the claim.Inspect away! Who's stopping you?
Eh. No surprises there.QuoteRemember when Elon Musk was the RE sweetheart?Not really.
Isn't that a claim worth investigating?Maybe. What do you propose? You just keep saying "inspect" and "investigate", but what specifically do you want us to do (presumably free of charge), and why aren't you doing it yourself if you want it so badly?
You might save some time by starting with a recent very public description of the security shortcomings:Yup, agreed and thank you. Looking past the childish format of the video, it does appear to include some complete uncensored requests, and then some poorly censored ones. That should be enough to work with.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=grjDlOIdf5Q&t=152s
This is a nuanced subject. For the vulnerabilities which they disclosed privately, then waited a bunch, and then publicised, they're completely in line with best practise. MCToon's threat of releasing future vulnerabilities publicly without first following through with disclosure, on the other hand, will quickly get him in trouble; and it doesn't matter that Dave was mean to him before.This isn't smart to publicize this and how it works. Conspiracy Toonz is engaging in criminal behavior by publishing this and providing proof of concept scripts. Dave Weiss, or possibly anyone who has their data in the app, could press charges.I'd be more likely to press charges against Dave Weiss for leaving such obvious and easy to exploit vulnerabilities in the app.