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Flat Earth Theory / Re: Angular Diameter change of Venus and Mars
« on: March 28, 2017, 11:58:05 AM »Tom, making observations and predictions based on observational periods is not a model. Tycho Brahe, who was brilliant at observation, never did generate a model that accurately fit with his own observations. That didn't happen until Kepler who was Brahe's student.
No. There has never been an orbital model which could predict things with accuracy.
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Secondly, the naked eye is unable to resolve angular diameter smaller than one arc minute. Galileo was first to notice the changing angular diameter of Mars via a telescope. That didn't happen until the early 1600s. Your statement that we have been able to to predict the change in angular diameter of Mars for 1000's of years is absolutely false.
I didn't make the statement that we have been able to predict the change in angular diameter of mars for thousands of years. Please read more carefully next time.
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You seem to be struggling with the concept of a model. Observations are not models. Periodic observations over hundreds of years are not models. Models are explanations for the historical observations. A model is tested for its accuracy by using it to make predictions. If the predictions do not line up with the periodic observations then it needs to be adjusted. The models of Aristotle, Ptolemy, Copernicus, and Brahe all had errors. Some large and some small. It wasn't until Kepler proposed elliptical orbits that the modeling began to accurately fit with the periodic observations.
Kepler never created an orbital model which could predict the location of things in the sky. I don't know what you are talking about, but it is nonsense. The only way astronomers predict occurrences in the sky is with the pattern finding method.
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Lastly, are you able to look at the Java Script for the predictions for the upcoming eclipse? If you are, you will see that it's not pulling from a historical record.
It is possible to make a Javascript to predict the date of a next celestial event based on the pattern of occurrence. But this would be a pattern-based model, and not a geometric or orbital based model. Orbital based models would be more of a proof of mechanism for the matter of RET, but orbital models have never been accurate enough to match prediction to observation.