You might have done some homework before posting.
The CBS/YouGov poll is worthless. The only poll that matters was included in my previous message.
Online poll of registered voters. Worthless.
"The CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker is a panel study based on interviews conducted on the internet of registered voters in California, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, New York,Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, and Wisconsin. The poll was conducted by YouGov, an online polling organization."
"The first wave was fielded between September 3-10, 2015 [...] In the eleventh wave of our primary surveys, respondents in California, New York, and Pennsylvania were contacted April 13-15, 2016.Respondents were selected from YouGovs and two other online panels. These are “opt-in” panels which are open for anyone to join. However, YouGov also randomly selected persons from voter registration lists who had previously voted in primary elections and contacted them by phone. A total of 24017 registered voters were contacted by phone and the YouGov sample includes 1821 phone recruits."
Registered voters... not even registered Republicans (they might have specified at least that).
Moreover, we have this.
'The bad news is that CBS and YouGov have teamed up to systematically overstate Trump’s support in pretty much every primary they have polled this year.
They predicted that Cruz would win Texas by 11% – he ended up winning by over 17%. They predicted that Trump would win Virginia by 13% – he ended up winning by less than 3%. They predicted that Trump would tie Kasich in Ohio, but he ended up losing by 11%. They predicted that Cruz would win Wisconsin by 6%, but he ended up winning by 13%.
In four of the seven primaries CBS News/YouGov have polled thus far, they have missed either Trump’s support or Cruz’s support (or both) outside the margin of error. Given that any polling company that misses on the margin of error more than one time out of every 20 has a systematic problem, we can safely assume that this latest poll from YouGov is likewise trash."
Don't worry, I am not a Cruz supporter.
I was just able to correctly read the entire Republican primary from the very start, using my knowledge of secret societies and their influence upon the electoral process.
For the California primary, you need this:
http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-sac-skelton-ted-cruz-delegates-20160407-story.htmlhttp://www.breitbart.com/california/2016/04/13/ted-cruz-win-california-primary-tom-del-beccaro/http://www.redstate.com/leon_h_wolf/2016/03/27/new-california-poll-shows-tight-race-cruz-trump/