Not necessarily. If there's a recession or a war then Trump will get blamed and probably lose. If neither happens then the electoral college is so heavily gerrymandered that he'll probably win the presidency with an even bigger popular vote loss.
Even if a recession happened tomorrow, the affects wouldn't be felt by the public until after the election now. Trump has got the economy over the line. There was no crash on his watch. The public usually only hear of a recession after it has finished.
A third money fire in the middle east actually would alter people's lives by quite a bit.
Trump would spin it. How many US jobs rely on the industrial military complex? Then there is patriotism and supporting the troops. Some flag waving. Show of American power. Defender against Islam. I don't think a money fire in the Middle East would sink Trump. I think quite the opposite. Boris Johnson on the other hand, would likely lose his job over it.
But Brexit is ready. Slam it in the microwave. You guys have plenty of spare time to get involved in America's proxy wars.
I like to look through the window and watch the food go around.
We don't really want an Iran war right now. The US would use a future trade deal as a way to force us to join in, to give their effort some kind of international credibility and tone down the imperial aspect, making it more like international policing rather than an oil grab. We need to finish our Brexit, not be relying on future trade deals and in a position to say "looks expensive, maybe next time".
I think what you mean is it won't affect you. And, you know what, it hasn't really affected me either.
It doesn't actually affect most people. And yet they act like the world is ending.
But that doesn't mean it won't affect a lot of people and is, in general, a bad thing.
He's the poster boy for Dunning-Kruger, he thinks he understands things a lot better than he actually does and that is potentially dangerous when he has the power to make policies which affect people.
This just sounds like envy. You realise he has an entire civil service and judiciary making decisions for the nation all day every day? Like 99.9999% of the decisions. He's not making any decisions at all. I doubt he even chooses what he gets served for breakfast. He has a bunch of strategists and military experts that tell him "we should do a drone strike, these are the reasons why, here is a script you need to read on TV, be prepared to answer these questions like this". Trump is America's spokesperson. Like Tony the Tiger or the Michelin man. A face for the nation. That's it. The USA doesn't abdicate all power to him and get him making all the decisions. That would be madness. Lawyers, technocrats, judges, civil servants and military personnel make the decisions. And you can't vote them out. And that's why no matter who you vote for ... you keep having endless wars in the middle east.