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Philosophy, Religion & Society / Re: Trump
« on: June 26, 2025, 04:51:17 PM »
3000 per day? Rookie numbers. We need to pump those numbers up.
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Long? Look, I know your attention span is bad but 2 hours is hardly long and arduous.
Her son is a US citizen.
And while she would probably be deported, her son would not. What happens to the kid is decided in a court with the parents having several options.
https://www.npr.org/2025/04/26/nx-s1-5378077/honduras-deported-girl-citizen
First they came for the illegals.
Then they came for the citizens who were children.
This is why we have courts: Because ICE isn't someone you can trust to give you a truthful answer. That kid could have stayed with their dad/partner. That's typically how it works. Or another family member. The fact that ICE is saying this is what she wanted is not something anyone can verify. Which, again, is why we have fucking courts!
Dear Rushy. Why are a considerable amount of Bitcoin investors of a alternative lifestyles? Not that's anything wrong with that. But it sure is a mystery. Can you enlighten us rushy?
Oh no, I'm simply countering your claim that the dollar has lost value as the reason. Unless you want to claim that every currency on earth is The Dollar and thus loses value/inflation hits simultaniously. The only other explination is that something, beyond America, caused the large inflation spike.
Ukraine was a major grains exporter to Europe so yeah, they care. Also, Russia being bigger and more powerful is bad for Europe. I get that Trump wouldn't care, but we do. We do NOT want Russia to get bolder. We saw what happened in WW2 when Germany got bold.
My Norwegian Kroner exchange rate as well as my food bill would disagree with that assessment.
Several hundred times is the EU's entire defense budget and then some. America is literally the highest spending country in the world when it comes to defense.
Which is not what I wrote.
Yeah, you're right. I see the most recent charts now.
Fortunately winter is over so it should drop again.
Why do you think food is so expensive?
Couple of problems.
1. The "pocket change" is compared to the US.
Europe spent about $340 billion in 2024 on defense. All of the EU. Since the war, the EU spent about $900 Billion in defense. So $198 billion is about 22% of their entire defense spending. Not pocket change. They're giving MORE and MORE OF A PERCENTAGE of their spending than the US.
2. More money isn't everything. While continued funds are needed, you can't spend $100 billion all at once and get everything immediately. Even if you bought $100 billion in missiles, you gotta wait til they're made and delivered. Most weapons makers have a long back long of orders and your request for 100 missiles is just gonna take time. So they need money, aid, weapons... But In a steady amount. Which is why they haven't even gotten all the money congress approved for them. (And Trump is illegally denying)
3. Why is Europe still buying Russian oil and gas? They're not buying nearly as much. Alot if which got cut off with the pipeline explosion. What you fail to understand is how intertwined European heating is with Russian gas. Most countries relied on it completely. When it was cut off or severely hampered, most people had to switch to the only source available on such a short notice: electric. And trust me, I felt that. I know someone who could not even use their heater because the power bill was far too high. In winter. Hell, my electric bill trippled and we don't use Russian gas, we use electricity. Which we sell to the nations that did use Russian gas for heating.
So yeah, it's a trade off of how much you wanna hurt but let me assure you: they are using considerably less Russian gas than they used to with some nations totally cut off.
Ukraine was a major grain exporter. You knew that, right?
As for money:
If we go by Tom's numbers with the US allocating $174 billion...
The EU has allocated $198 billion.
https://www.eeas.europa.eu/delegations/united-states-america/eu-assistance-ukraine-us-dollars_en?s=253
The $174 billion over 3 years is Pocket change to the US military budget. 7% of the military budget over the last 3 years, specifically.
Pocket change.
it was a joke, captain serious.
• The U.S. government should maintain higher tariffs on imports of goods from China
(1) of which China is the dominant supplier and that the Departments of Defense and
Commerce consider key technologies and (2) that could undermine U.S. industries con-
sidered critical to U.S. economic or national security.
• To maintain the overall competitiveness of U.S. manufacturing and to benefit U.S. con-
sumers, the U.S. Trade Representative should offer to negotiate reductions of U.S. tariffs
on nonsensitive imports of consumer goods and manufacturing inputs from China in
exchange for reductions in Chinese tariffs on U.S. goods.
i'm in a trump thread commenting on a proposal trump made. "there are other people recommending different things that are possibly more rational than this thing" is largely irrelevant to me.
not really, it's just hard to be anything more than halfhearted when i reply to posts that don't actually read the things i write and are 90% "don't you agree you're obviously wrong?" and "here's 10 things i'm not saying. can you guess what i am saying?"
i think it sounds way dumber to make an argument by analogy that relies on russia : ukraine :: china : united states. i do not agree that chinese steel exports are literally an existential threat to the united states. or anything close. and i think inflation and unemployment are worse than just "muh economy."
from my point of view, the analogy is that trump proposes simply carpet-bombing the entirety of ukraine. when i say that this is fucking stupid, you pop in to be like "okay but the dept of defense actually recommends increasing targeted strikes of russian supply bases in eastern ukraine while lowering strikes elsewhere because they themselves demonstrate that all strikes come at a significant cost. i bet you feel so dumb now." i don't, though.
lol pass. it's way funnier watching you completely change your argument mid-discussion.
china is our ally.
for one thing, it absolutely does. they recommend increasing tariffs only on materials deemed critical to the economy while negotiating the others away.
for another thing, their analysis does not calculate or estimate the net effect of the tariffs. they quantify the overall cost to the us economy (e.g. it's a tax on poor people), and they assert some of the benefits (e.g. decreased trade deficit). but since they don't compare the two, i can't tell you why they recommend their proposals other than "they believe the benefits outweigh the costs."
for another another thing, none of this matters
what's that got to do with 25% tariffs on literally all products from canada and mexico? or raising all tariffs on all chinese goods by 10%? sorry, but that's an absolutely horrifically fucking stupid economic policy, and you should feel super silly for defending it.
In short, the increases in U.S. tariffs in 2018 resulted in reductions in U.S. manufacturing exports, output, and employment; accelerated producer and consumer price inflation; and diminished household welfare, especially for lower-income households.
i think that's bad. i think vastly expanding the scope of things that are bad is even more bad.
if you say so.
"Yeah lol we should just keep letting our miners and manufacturers go bankrupt competing with subsidized Chinese firms lmao, who even needs steel or aluminum amirite?"
"Their purpose is to keep a foreign adversary from killing vital industries in your nation."
yes. flattening the distribution of nations we import steel from (i.e., diversifying the supply chain) doesn't keep domestic steel/mining/whatever from dying.
>"you don't know anything. read this paper and learn something, idiot."
>"this paper agrees with me."
>"oh so you just get your opinions from nerds and their nerd papers? trying listening to the GOVERNMENT sometime, idiot."
i'm simply describing a cause-and-effect relationship measured by economists, but okay.
i said spur growth and protect jobs, and i obviously mean with respect to the protected industries. and the 2018 tariffs absolutely were mapped to specific domestic production/employment growth goals.
in other words -- tariffs reduce domestic production and manufacturing (among many other things).
they conclude that the benefit of tariffs for access to steel is by diversifying the supply chain globally
lol they're not saying anywhere that tariffs are "keep a foreign adversary from killing vital industries in your nation" or anything of the sort.
Biden and Trump's administration, as well as the EU, don't really differ much in terms of economic decision making with respect to China.yes, that's what i said.
then why aren't steel tariffs working? we've had steel tariffs on china since 2018. biden did not remove them. the initial capability utilization rate target was 80%. it still has not been reached. "In the week ending on November 23, 2024, domestic raw steel production was 1,655,000 net tons while the capability utilization rate was 74.5 percent."
tariffs are a fucking stupid way to spur growth and protect jobs. they do not work.