[Rama Set]

The Florida prosecutor's office decided not to charge Corey Lewandowski and now Fields once again looks like an idiot playing the victim. Discuss.

Literally what?

[model 29]

But calling liberals racist is hilarious.

Because a lot of them are.

[Pete Svarrior]

But calling liberals racist is hilarious.

Because a lot of them are.

Ye, but just look how desperate they are to defend themselves.

[sandokhan]

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/434087/ted-cruz-winning-marco-rubio-delegates

"We all know about RNC Rule 40(b) by now, stating that any candidate who wants to be on the ballot for a Convention floor vote in Cleveland at the Republican National Convention will have to have won a majority of delegates in 8 states. So far, both Trump and Cruz have done that, and no others have any realistic possibility of doing it.
However, the wording of the rule as laid out by The National Review’s Brendan Bordelon and Eliana Johnson brings up the possibility that Rule 40(b) could possibly be used by Cruz delegates to shut Trump out of the ballot:

The rules currently require a candidate to secure a petition featuring the signature of a majority of the delegates from eight states in order to be nominated…. [C]ollecting the signatures of a majority of the delegates in the required number of states would take a strong, organized effort on the ground in Cleveland, and Rubio is unlikely to pull it off.

According to one longtime RNC member, “Just because you won a state doesn’t necessarily mean you’re going to have enough people in that delegate slate signing your petition. It’s a matter of high panic even when you’re Mitt Romney or George W. Bush.”

According to this rehash of Rule 40(b), the candidates need to arrive in Cleveland and then get a majority of delegates from 8 states to sign petitions for them to be on the ballot. This process is so difficult that it causes headaches for EASY nomination winners like George W. Bush and Mitt Romney!

So the question is – what if Trump can’t find majorities of delegates on the convention floor from 8 different states that are willing to sign petitions for him to be on the floor vote ballot?  Is it possible that Cruz-supporting and Rubio-supporting and #NeverTrump delegates could combine on the floor to keep Trump from getting the required majority of signatures on petitions from 8 states? Could they keep him from being voted on at all at the convention? Is it possible that Ted Cruz could be the only name on a Cleveland floor ballot?"

[Rushy]

The Florida prosecutor's office decided not to charge Corey Lewandowski and now Fields once again looks like an idiot playing the victim. Discuss.

Literally what?

Corey Lewandowski, Trump's campaign manager, was accused of assault/battery by Michelle Fields during a Florida rally. It was big news in March because Trump refused to fire Lewandowski for "assaulting a journalist."

[sandokhan]

Latest NY poll:

http://politicalmachination.com/poll-new-york-2016-presidential-primary-2/

Trump under 50%.

Also Trump will experience difficulties in the following districts: 7, 9, 10, 12, 13, 15, 16, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27.

http://politicalmachination.com/trump-ahead-new-york-winner-take-uncertain/

[Rama Set]

The Florida prosecutor's office decided not to charge Corey Lewandowski and now Fields once again looks like an idiot playing the victim. Discuss.

Literally what?

Corey Lewandowski, Trump's campaign manager, was accused of assault/battery by Michelle Fields during a Florida rally. It was big news in March because Trump refused to fire Lewandowski for "assaulting a journalist."

Seems like standard American histrionics.  Lewandowski maybe grabbed her arm?  He should apologize like a big boy and everyone move on.

[Rushy]

The Florida prosecutor's office decided not to charge Corey Lewandowski and now Fields once again looks like an idiot playing the victim. Discuss.

Literally what?

Corey Lewandowski, Trump's campaign manager, was accused of assault/battery by Michelle Fields during a Florida rally. It was big news in March because Trump refused to fire Lewandowski for "assaulting a journalist."

Seems like standard American histrionics.  Lewandowski maybe grabbed her arm?  He should apologize like a big boy and everyone move on.

Why would he apologize? Apologies are for things you shouldn't have done. In my opinion she should have been tackled on the spot for crossing the secret service perimeter. A quick pull away from a presidential candidate seems like a light punishment.

Fox News just fired her so I guess there's that.

[Rama Set]

In my opinion she should have been tackled on the spot for crossing the secret service perimeter.

Is there a secret service perimeter for someone seeking a presidential nomination?  Anyway, a well-worded apology could have made it go away quickly without really taking culpability for the action. For example, apologize for over-stepping the secret service, it could have make him seem like a take charge kind of guy who cuts around the red tape, etc...

[Rushy]

Is there a secret service perimeter for someone seeking a presidential nomination?

...yes. It's quite literally the reason the Florida prosecutor's office dropped the case: she crossed the secret service line.

  Anyway, a well-worded apology could have made it go away quickly without really taking culpability for the action. For example, apologize for over-stepping the secret service, it could have make him seem like a take charge kind of guy who cuts around the red tape, etc...

Security is part of the campaign manager's job. Again, Cory Lewandowski did absolutely nothing wrong and he has nothing to apologize for. This isn't the first time Michelle Fields acted like someone assaulted her and it probably won't be the last; she is a professional victim.

[sandokhan]

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/04/14/in-georgia-donald-trump-supporters-sound-the-alarm-perhaps-too-late/

[sandokhan]

Latest anti-Trump ad in NY:

http://www.redstate.com/absentee/2016/04/16/watch-crushing-new-cruz-ad-airing-new-york-great-awesome/

[sandokhan]

Latest, large poll in NY state, district by district:

http://39w38kcpdu73bfyfh2rez9zw.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/PM_Graphs2_Trump-ahead-2-1.png

[Rushy]

https://www.scribd.com/doc/309313864/CBS-News-2016-Battleground-Tracker-California-April-17-2016

*poll is CBS news

Donald Trump leading California poll by 18 points. Looks like Cruz stealing the Colorado election didn't have a net positive effect. 49% of California Republicans want to vote Trump and 49% believe the nomination process "hasn't been fair." 49% also think he is more electable in November, which means that the 49% number appears to be a solid support base since they're answering consistently.

[sandokhan]

You might have done some homework before posting.

The CBS/YouGov poll is worthless. The only poll that matters was included in my previous message.

Online poll of registered voters. Worthless.

"The CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker is a panel study based on interviews conducted on the internet of registered voters in California, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, New York,Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, and Wisconsin. The poll was conducted by YouGov, an online polling organization."

"The first wave was fielded between September 3-10, 2015 [...] In the eleventh wave of our primary surveys, respondents in California, New York, and Pennsylvania were contacted April 13-15, 2016.Respondents were selected from YouGovs and two other online panels. These are “opt-in” panels which are open for anyone to join. However, YouGov also randomly selected persons from voter registration lists who had previously voted in primary elections and contacted them by phone. A total of 24017 registered voters were contacted by phone and the YouGov sample includes 1821 phone recruits."

Registered voters... not even registered Republicans (they might have specified at least that).

Moreover, we have this.

'The bad news is that CBS and YouGov have teamed up to systematically overstate Trump’s support in pretty much every primary they have polled this year.

They predicted that Cruz would win Texas by 11% – he ended up winning by over 17%. They predicted that Trump would win Virginia by 13% – he ended up winning by less than 3%. They predicted that Trump would tie Kasich in Ohio, but he ended up losing by 11%. They predicted that Cruz would win Wisconsin by 6%, but he ended up winning by 13%.

In four of the seven primaries CBS News/YouGov have polled thus far, they have missed either Trump’s support or Cruz’s support (or both) outside the margin of error. Given that any polling company that misses on the margin of error more than one time out of every 20 has a systematic problem, we can safely assume that this latest poll from YouGov is likewise trash."


Don't worry, I am not a Cruz supporter.

I was just able to correctly read the entire Republican primary from the very start, using my knowledge of secret societies and their influence upon the electoral process.


For the California primary, you need this:

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-sac-skelton-ted-cruz-delegates-20160407-story.html

http://www.breitbart.com/california/2016/04/13/ted-cruz-win-california-primary-tom-del-beccaro/

http://www.redstate.com/leon_h_wolf/2016/03/27/new-california-poll-shows-tight-race-cruz-trump/

[juner]

Oliver was also making the claim that Trump was being hypocritical when he attacked Jon Stewart for his name change from Leibowitz to Stewart.  Granted, the situations aren't the same, Stewart changed his while Trump's ancestor was the one who made the change. Without that attack on Stewart's name, I'd be surprised if Drumpf would have ever found the light of day.
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4372969,00.html

Welcome back, DD.

[Ghost Spaghetti]

I don't understand why people think 'Drumpf' sounds funnier than 'Trump,' especially when the latter is a synonym for 'fart.'

To me, it is like "Of course, Donald Fart sounds like success, but would he have gotten so far with a name like 'Donald Farah?"

[sandokhan]

Since there are only a few primaries left, we can calculate the total number of delegates alloted for each candidate, up until June 7:

Trump 964

Cruz 794

Kasich 178

That is, Trump will need to win at least 273 delegates, out of a total of 303, come June 7.

Let us update this count.

Trump 994 (we add 30 more NY delegates)

Cruz 764

(of course, the real count, where Trump loses all SC delegates, and other delegates from AR, LA and FL, is different)

What we have left is this:

California 172
Indiana 57
New Jersey 51
Washington 44
Maryland 38
Nebraska 36
West Virginia 34
South Dakota 29
Connecticut 28
Oregon 28
Montana 27
New Mexico 24
Rhode Island 19
Pennsylvania 17 +54
Delaware 16

red = very difficult states/delegates for Trump
yellow = tough campaign to gain at least a majority
orange = Christie's political machine

This leaves California, as the last place where any candidate can gain a significant number of delegates.

[Rushy]

Donald Trump's campaign violated the following federal regulations:

49 CFR § 229.46
49 CFR § 213.307
In particular, of 229.46:
(a) Before each trip, the railroad shall know the following: (1) The locomotive brakes and devices for regulating pressures, including but not limited to the automatic and independent brake control systems, operate as intended;
And 213.307:
(a) Except as provided in paragraph (b) of this section and §§ 213.329, 213.337(a) and 213.345(c), the following maximum allowable operating speeds apply: […]

[Lord Dave]

I believe we'll have a contested convention. 

I wish Paul Ryan wanted to run but I can understand why he wouldn't.