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Messages - Clyde Frog

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1
Philosophy, Religion & Society / Re: Died Suddenly
« on: November 23, 2022, 10:01:58 PM »
Oh of course, making money on scams, it's the grifter way. People like J-man keep the coffers full!

2
Philosophy, Religion & Society / Re: Died Suddenly
« on: November 23, 2022, 09:50:32 PM »
That link in the OP is literally spam.

Quote
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3
Philosophy, Religion & Society / Re: Midterms 2022
« on: November 16, 2022, 01:27:21 PM »
You are going to sit here and tell me the widely-held conservative opinion going into the midterms was NOT that they were going to have a red wave, capturing large gains in both the House and the Senate? Bold strategy, Cotton. I mean, there's all the articles and interviews standing in opposition, but then if you wear sunglasses with just the right tint of rose...

4
Philosophy, Religion & Society / Re: Midterms 2022
« on: November 16, 2022, 01:02:12 AM »
Have a glance at history for a moment. You aren't making the strong case that you seem to think you are. Remember, history is only an internet search away!

https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/data/seats-congress-gainedlost-the-presidents-party-mid-term-elections

Yes, I posted that link on the last page. That page shows that number of seats an incumbent president's party wins during the midterms is directly related to the president's approval numbers. According to that page George W. Bush and Bill Clinton had terms where their approval numbers were at 65 or above, and so their parties gained seats during the midterms. During one of Bill Clinton's terms he dipped in approval to 48 near the midterms, and his party lost seats in that one. During one of George W. Bush's terms he had an approval of 37, and likewise lost seats. Obama had approval numbers in the 40's during both his terms for his midterms, so his party lost seats in each instance. There is a direct correlation to this relationship.
The neat thing is, if you go back and look at that page and just scroll up a little bit from where you seem to have gotten lost, there's a whole bunch more data. Take a peek. You might notice a thing that happens in midterms normally. And you might also notice that the Dems did pretty well in this midterm when viewed against the entire history of midterm elections in the US. And, as was pointed out, they also did better than most when viewed against the last 20 years of midterms. So that's history viewed through both from afar (at least in US terms, we aren't that old of a country) and when viewed over a much shorter timeframe.

"We'll probably get more than 52 seats" womp womp
"It's gonna be a red wave" womp womp
"It's not gonna be a red wave, it's gonna be a red tsunami!" womp womp

How'd the Arizona senate race go? What about Kari Lake's bid for governor? When is Don Bolduc getting sworn in? Dr. Oz? These folks were shoe-ins, after all, right?

womp womp

5
Philosophy, Religion & Society / Re: Midterms 2022
« on: November 15, 2022, 09:43:15 PM »
Have a glance at history for a moment. You aren't making the strong case that you seem to think you are. Remember, history is only an internet search away!

https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/data/seats-congress-gainedlost-the-presidents-party-mid-term-elections

6
Philosophy, Religion & Society / Re: Midterms 2022
« on: November 15, 2022, 09:04:10 PM »
No, I think it's spot on. Dems have the presidency and the Senate. GOP is on track to have a teeny-tiny advantage in the House only. The image tracks perfectly.

The GOP expected to win a Senate majority. They expected to have a huge advantage in Congress. They achieved neither. "I think if you look at the numbers, I think we can do better, way better than 52." - Rick Scott

Sleepy Joe is president, we're dealing with insane inflation, and the GOP still failed this dismally at pulling off the midterm red wave they told everyone in their base they were supremely confident was definitely happening. *Slow clap*

7
Philosophy, Religion & Society / Re: Midterms 2022
« on: November 15, 2022, 06:07:06 PM »
https://rollcall.com/2022/11/07/scott-sees-52-plus-gop-senate-seats-says-watch-new-hampshire/
Quote
“I still believe we’re going to have 52-plus. That’s where I believe,” Scott said Saturday. “I think if you look at the numbers, I think we can do better, way better than 52. But we’ll see. It’s all tied to voter turnout.”

Keep telling yourself it went poorly for the Dems though. We all need a little copium sometimes ;)

8
Philosophy, Religion & Society / Re: Midterms 2022
« on: November 09, 2022, 05:46:15 PM »
I think we have Roe to thank.
And gen Z showing up.
Yeah, both of those factors seems to have driven a lot of people to go vote in an election they might normally have stayed home for. Strangely, I did see a statistic earlier that white women turned out more strongly for Republican candidates this year than in previous cycles. That is a demographic that I would have thought would move in the Democratic party's direction over the Roe verdict, but they zigged instead of zagging.

Oh actually, here's where I saw it: https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2022/politics/exit-polls-2022-midterm-2018-shift/

9
This is exactly what Russia wanted, you should be really happy with this development as it signals that the American government is showing great respect for Russian concerns regarding keeping tabs on the military equipment that has been shared with Ukraine. Russia said we needed better safeguards on them, and we took swift action to ensure their concern was addressed.

10
Science & Alternative Science / Re: Nuclear Bombs Do Not Exist
« on: October 10, 2022, 08:29:05 PM »
I'm the one asserting there's no evidence of something, you're the one saying you have evidence of it (that you obviously cannot provide).
You also asserted "modern thermonuclear fusion weapons supposedly don't have any radioactive fallout". Citation?

"Fusion, unlike fission, is relatively "clean"—it releases energy but no harmful radioactive products or large amounts of nuclear fallout."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermonuclear_weapon

I suppose it comes down to what you may consider a "large amount". It's all made up concepts, anyway, as I've said before, none of these designs are real.
So you don't actually know how modern thermonuclear weapons work, then? Perhaps this infographic from the very same wikipedia article you obviously read will be helpful to revisit?


11
Science & Alternative Science / Re: Nuclear Bombs Do Not Exist
« on: October 10, 2022, 06:37:29 PM »
I'm the one asserting there's no evidence of something, you're the one saying you have evidence of it (that you obviously cannot provide).
You also asserted "modern thermonuclear fusion weapons supposedly don't have any radioactive fallout". Citation?

12
Philosophy, Religion & Society / Re: The Queen
« on: September 20, 2022, 09:15:03 PM »
First Lady Jill Biden was also seated directly next to Ignazio Cassis, the president of Switzerland.
Another injustice that never would have happened under a Trump presidency! The disrespect is now being visited upon our key allies?! It's unconscionable.

13
Flat Earth Investigations / Re: The Blatant Lies of National Geographic
« on: September 09, 2022, 06:45:34 PM »
If I were to play apologist for NatGeo here, I'd guess they are counting the white stripes as stripes. Stripes can be white, too, after all. So they are counting all of the white on the bottom, plus half of the red stripe. Doesn't excuse the fact that you can you can clearly see the horizon behind the boat which runs counter to what they are claiming to show here, but I have a feeling that's where they are getting the "one and a half stripes" from.

Funny, this didn't even occur to me. I was too fixated on the colors, not the white stripes. So yeah, if this is the case, the guy's statement kinda makes sense now.
I mean, it's an extremely generous interpretation of their words, I am by no means trying to stand in their corner and champion that video as a paragon of excellence in science communication, but I think it might still be a fair interpretation. They need to be better though.

14
Flat Earth Investigations / Re: The Blatant Lies of National Geographic
« on: September 09, 2022, 12:41:19 PM »
If I were to play apologist for NatGeo here, I'd guess they are counting the white stripes as stripes. Stripes can be white, too, after all. So they are counting all of the white on the bottom, plus half of the red stripe. Doesn't excuse the fact that you can you can clearly see the horizon behind the boat which runs counter to what they are claiming to show here, but I have a feeling that's where they are getting the "one and a half stripes" from.

15
As far as the ethics around training go, I personally don't have a problem with it. Living carbon-based artists are also trained on the work of other living artists, while also having more creative agency to flavor their art with their own individual style. I kind of view training the AI as a similar in a lot of ways, and so using AI to generate art like this doesn't really bother me. I have a kid who thinks in the next 10 years there won't be any human beings making art because the AI will be doing it all, and I have a hard time believing that given the creative drive people tend to have. In the near term, I see it used for people to have a quick-and-easy way to come up with something like cover art for a book or album they want to self-publish and maybe aren't gifted with drawing or painting.

Producing images of people that are indistinguishable from genuine images is an interesting thought, but I also think DeepFake tech is already taking the more desirable path for nefarious parties that want to come up with compromising images of real people doing questionable things.

16
Rounding up "undesirables" and putting them into camps has never led to a bad outcome, right?

17
Philosophy, Religion & Society / Re: Bye Bye Abortion
« on: July 06, 2022, 10:12:41 PM »
Imagine identifying as Republican in the US and alsonchampioming having the government make decisions on what kind of healthcare a person should be eligible to receive. What about personal liberty, coupled with personal responsibility, without a bunch of government oversight?

Some people really think federal, state, and local governments should be involved in decisions between a doctor and patient. The people best equipped, and the people with the strongest vested interest of the wellbeing of all parties involved in that interaction, are in the exam room. Maybe we should let doctors just do their job? It's not like they don't have years and years of very specialized training.

18
I'm trying to separate the member from the thread here. This isn't a defense of anyone's past behavior and it's not really a condemnation of anyone's recent choices. As a general statement, it seems silly to lock an AR thread because you think the OP should have posted in the uppers. You could just move it to the right place instead of closing it and locking it, then allow discussion to develop in the appropriate venue. And if it would have been locked in the uppers and/or sent back to the lower boards, then it was kind of in the right place all along, wasn't it?

19
Flat Earth Theory / Re: Found a fully working flat earth model?
« on: June 07, 2022, 12:04:17 AM »
For the sake of clarity: Do you think the OP is suggesting they are showing us a Euclidean space FE in this thread?

20
Flat Earth Theory / Re: Scales on Maps
« on: June 06, 2022, 11:01:52 PM »
You are wrong, now you know. I mean, he said as much, so you could have just read what he wrote, but I'm happy to tell you too.

The other physicists and mathematicians he works with commented on it before he posted it here. He wrote about that, too, in the very same thread. You could have read that for yourself. But you didn't.

Maybe leave your instinctive desire to bash anything that looks strange to you behind and reread what he wrote? It's a RE, expressed in a way that looks new and scary, but it's window dressing. He took your favorite planet and gave it a new look. Same shape, same physics, now being sold in new packaging.

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